Top 14 Over 1.5 goals

For Top 14 we combine sportsbook consensus with our own xG-weighted model to produce a over 1.5 goals view that separates public bias from real value.

We look at team-level over 1.5 goals rates, venue splits, referee tendencies where relevant, and the current market pricing so you can quickly see where the model disagrees with the book.

Scan the fixtures list for the Top 14 matchday you’re interested in, cross-reference the over 1.5 goals rate against the current odds, and mark any fixture where the model implied probability is at least 5% off the market.

Combine with our /tools/no-vig-calculator to strip bookmaker margin from the market before comparing.

Every other Top 14 market has its own dedicated page under /leagues/top-14/. Jump straight to the market you want.