How our tipsters work
Every tip starts with a model price. We compare it to the best available market price, only flag bets with a meaningful edge, and stake them using a fractional Kelly approach. No "lock of the day" hype.
Stake responsibly
A profitable tipster might win 53% of their bets. That means losing streaks of 6–8 are routine. Use a small percentage of your bankroll per pick and review our 10 tips for turning a profit guide.
Where to bet our tips
Use the sharpest sportsbook from our best betting sites shortlist. Tight pricing compounds heavily over a season.
Live Polymarket markets
Real-time prices and 24h volume from Polymarket.
A good tip tells you the selection, the price, the recommended stake and why the value exists. Anything less is noise.
Expected value (EV)
EV = (probability × profit) − (loss probability × stake). Bet only positive-EV markets.
Closing line value
Compare your taken price to the closing price. Consistently beating closing odds is the single best predictor of long-term profit.
Bankroll management
See our getting better at betting guide for staking, record-keeping and review habits.